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Why do we still trust MajinBu with leaks? Remember the fidget spinner camera? Yeah that came from him… I also remember macOS 14 running on iPads coming from him 3 years ago…
 
Many of these rumors come from people being shown, or having described to them, work in progress (obviously). The people showing/telling them these things might be so enthusiastic about what they're working on, that it can seem to the person they're revealing these things to that these things are likely to be released as shown. One of Prosser's approaches is to convey that enthusiasm, but then (at least sometimes) toning it down by pointing out that these things may or may not look or work like he's been shown.

Many people have their hands on the elephant, and each describes what the overall beast must look like depending on what they're touching.
 
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I think Prosser actually gets an edge over Gurman in that his leaks featured carefully crafted renders, whereas Gurman's predictions of the new UI were much more vague and open to interpretation. FPT's renders weren't exact, but pretty damn close... and he repeatedly admits that what they saw were early builds, and that the final product might look different. And I imagine that the liquid glass visuals and effects would be quite difficult for a digital artist to copy, especially with limited information at their disposal.
 
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